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    The latest from HGi

    UK inflation — a foggy picture of expectations and reality.

    1 Day ago
    Economics & marketsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics & markets
    379 Following
     
    Daily thoughtsClick for moreClick to follow:Daily thoughts

    In spite of yesterday’s correction in global stock markets there is an increasing consensus around the world that positive signs can be found and many equity investors are becoming accustomed to the idea that perhaps a new order has arrived.

    UK Q1 GDP unrevised; monthly profile positive for Q2

    Simon WardClick for moreClick to follow:Simon Ward
    181 Following
    2 days ago
    Economics & marketsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics & markets
    379 Following
     
    EconomicsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics 
    GDPClick for moreClick to follow:GDP

    The second estimate of first-quarter GDP growth was unchanged at 0.3% (0.31% versus a preliminary 0.30% before rounding). Monthly output, however, rose by more during the course of the quarter than previously assumed, supporting the view here that GDP could post an outsized second-quarter increase.

    Bloomberg Video: Japan Is Exporting Deflation

    Matthew BeesleyClick for moreClick to follow:Matthew Beesley
    2 days ago
    EconomicsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics 
    PoliticsClick for moreClick to follow:Politics

    Matthew Beesley discusses Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan monetary policy and the Chinese manufacturing data released today. He speaks with Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown."

    US: taking the lead from the middle

    Matthew BeesleyClick for moreClick to follow:Matthew Beesley
    2 days ago
    EconomicsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics 
    Daily thoughtsClick for moreClick to follow:Daily thoughts 
    USClick for moreClick to follow:US
    155 Following

    Sir Martin Sorrell, chief executive of the UK-based advertising agency WPP recently described the world as “three-speed”, noting that it was a “slog” in the west, “patchy” in the Middle East and still “much stronger” in the east.

    Upcoming webcast: Global Equity Income Fund update

    Andrew JonesClick for moreClick to follow:Andrew Jones
    24 Following
     
    Ben LofthouseClick for moreClick to follow:Ben Lofthouse
    113 Following
    2 days ago
    Investment solutionsClick for moreClick to follow:Investment solutions
    126 Following
     
    WebcastClick for moreClick to follow:Webcast 
    Henderson Global Equity Income FundClick for moreClick to follow:Henderson Global Equity Income Fund
    211 Following

    Register for this webcast taking place on 18 July where Ben Lofthouse and Andrew Jones will provide a quarter-end update on the fund including performance and positioning.

    Repo markets and the proposed financial transaction tax

    3 days ago
    Economics & marketsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics & markets
    379 Following
     
    Daily thoughtsClick for moreClick to follow:Daily thoughts

    The European Commission’s financial transaction tax proposal on most equity, debt and derivative transactions is currently the subject of hot debate and negotiations between the 11 eurozone member states and participants in the financial markets. One area of the industry that seems particularly vulnerable to even the smallest levy is the securities lending and repo markets because of a combination of low margins, large volumes and repeated transactions.

    UK temporary inflation fall boosts second-half economic prospects

    Simon WardClick for moreClick to follow:Simon Ward
    181 Following
    4 days ago
    Economics & marketsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics & markets
    379 Following
     
    EconomicsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics 
    UKClick for moreClick to follow:UK
    293 Following

    CPI inflation was expected to fall in April because of lower petrol prices and a favourable Budget base effect but the outturn of 2.4% was below a projection here of 2.6% (also the consensus forecast).

    Still a nation of shopkeepers?

    Michael NealClick for moreClick to follow:Michael Neal
    25 Following
    4 days ago
    RetailClick for moreClick to follow:Retail 
    Daily thoughtsClick for moreClick to follow:Daily thoughts 
    GlobalClick for moreClick to follow:Global
    222 Following

    It was Adam Smith in his 'Wealth of Nations' published in 1776 who referred to Great Britain as 'a nation of shopkeepers' and it is a phrase that has remained very relevant to the UK economy ever since.

    Why UK 2013 growth of 2% remains achievable

    Simon WardClick for moreClick to follow:Simon Ward
    181 Following
    4 days ago
    Economics & marketsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics & markets
    379 Following
     
    EconomicsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics 
    UKClick for moreClick to follow:UK
    293 Following
    A post in December suggested that UK GDP would grow by about 2% in 2013. This was based partly on a simple forecasting rule-of-thumb that judges prospects for the coming calendar year to be “good” if both real money growth and share prices are higher than a year before. This condition was met at the end of last year for the first time since December 2005. Historically, growth has averaged 4.1% in years following such a signal – see the earlier post for details.

    Weekly wrap: GDP growth: Japanese joy, European gloom

    4 days ago
    Economics & marketsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics & markets
    379 Following
     
    EconomicsClick for moreClick to follow:Economics 
    Weekly wrapClick for moreClick to follow:Weekly wrap

    In Asia, it is hoped that Japanese exports for April (Tuesday) will build on recent strength (+1.1% year-on-year in March). Over in China, the health of the manufacturing sector is gauged with the release of the May HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI (Wednesday); the April reading came in at 50.4, signalling only a slight improvement in manufacturing activity.



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