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HGF European Equity Long-Short Fund closure letter
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The September 2014 edition of the Secured Credit Insight covers some of the recent trends seen in the secured loans market, and the degree of convergence between Europe and the US.
The European loan market has experienced something of a revival over the past 18 months. 2013 saw by far the largest volume of issuance for several years, while 2014 is on track to record an even higher total. David Milward, Head of Loans at Henderson, comments on the renewed interest in this market.
There have been some tangible signs that confidence is slowly returning to Europe, although recent gross domestic product (GDP) numbers and industrial figures have been lacklustre. The unemployment rate for Europe, while still at elevated levels compared to historical averages, has begun to fall. New car sales are also rising – job security makes a new car purchase a far easier decision. There are, nonetheless, a range of significant hurdles to overcome, not least the consequent impact of the escalating crisis in Ukraine.
On 23 September 2014 at 14:00 BST, Nick Sheridan, manager of the Henderson Horizon Euroland Fund, will provide an overview of performance and positioning for his bottom-up ‘value-biased’ strategy. He will also provide an overview of his thoughts on the relative value of Euroland equities and why he believes that, despite the current heightened level of uncertainty, the region can offer investors an attractive rate of return over the next few years.
The bond rally this year caught many investors off guard; we believe this rally is largely technically driven and are not of the view that the bull flattening of the curve, where longer dated yields have fallen faster than short-dated yields, is telling us anything more sinister about forward looking growth dynamics as some commentators believe. It does, however, merit a look at the drivers and the main buyers.
On Thursday 4 September 2014, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates to new record lows while announcing a programme of private sector asset purchases aimed at bolstering the eurozone’s flagging economy. Here are a few summary views from various desks at Henderson regarding the ECB announcements.
Henderson Chief Economist Simon Ward gives his view on the ECB rate cut.
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